1.3.2025 11.6 megaSOL unlock :: Remember, remember, the velvet November


node:	1.3.2025 11.6 megaSOL unlock
template:	4
parent:	Sol nad zlato alias SOLana forum
owner:	Prospero
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created:	16.12.2024 - 19:21:21

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prveho marca 2025 uvolni konkurzny spravca skrachovanej FTX burzy 11.6 miliona SOL, je mozne ze nastane situacia s vysokou ponukou a cena pojde dole (jedine ze by nie)

000001010006354000063590091032280920428909205383

Historický kontext:
Ako sa cena SOL vyvíjala po tom prevalení sa podvodu burzy FTX v 2022: Samuel Bankman-Fried Sentenced to 25 Years for His Orchestration of Multiple Fraudulent Schemes

Takto to vyzeralo, od marca 2022 to začalo padať a už v októbri 2023 to zase stúpalo a potom to za dva roky stúplo na 200 USD
Ale ten pád ceny nebol len tou FTX burzov, boli tam aj hacky walletov, odchod developerov...

zdroj grafu - vravo hore tam: https://solana.messari.io/token-unlocks

Analýza, článok z 2022:
https://medium.com/@gollumsgems/why-is-solana-down-96-from-its-all-time-high-ba4aad1f361a

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Tohtoročné články a odpovede AI o tom unlocku:

Solana's token unlock event approaches, market participants brace themselves for its impact. While the event may induce fear and volatility in the short term, Solana's underlying strength could play a significant role in its capacity to weather the storm. Understanding how token unlocks influence market stability, supply, and demand is crucial for investors navigating this critical event in a volatile market.
https://eldorado.io/en/blog/solana-token-unlock-impact/

Sider AI: GPT-4o: Expected Solana Price Trends Around 2025 Unlock Event

When you analyze all the articles about it online, what is the expected time when the price will be low and then again rise up?

TLDR: Expected Price Recovery Phase: mid to late 2025
https://sider.ai/share/c815220c8f88565d0421f589f1246865

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What are the historical correlation patterns between major cryptocurrency events like this Solana unlock in 2025 and price fluctuations?
Tell me more about the historical cases of such unlocks and how it influenced the price of that token and how long did it take to recover.
For how long did it take in these historical cases, for the price to start rising again?

TLDR:
General Trends
Immediate Decline Post-Unlock:ň
Prices often drop leading up to and immediately after the unlock event due to increased supply and market uncertainty.

Stabilization Phase:
Averages: Prices typically stabilize within 7 to 14 days post-unlock as selling pressure eases and market participants absorb the new supply.

Recovery and Price Growth:
Timeframes: A sustained price rise often begins between 1 and 3 months after the unlock, depending on market conditions and project performance.

chatGPT - celá odpoveď:
https://chatgpt.com/c/676580b8-5588-800d-889f-a6fec0149508

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Will the Solana unlock event in March 2025 be 23% of current market supply, or 2.3%? because this number varies among articles about it.
And what about the remaining token unlock percentages during the following months after the main unlock in March? How high will be the percentages?

2.33% is the right answer:
https://chatgpt.com/share/67658b8e-4408-800d-86a0-1322690b9685

000001010006354000063590091032280920428909205011

https://solana.messari.io/token-unlocks

https://cryptorank.io/news/solana

000001010006354000063590091032280920428909204336

chm, zaujímavé, tak snáď to spadne len krátkodobo, treba využiť na nákup, snáď to nebude dlhšie trvať než rok.

"Over the past month, Solana has underperformed noticeably with prices declining and exhibiting notable hesitancy at important resistance levels. Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Chris Burniske claims that the main cause of this poor performance is the build-up to a token unlock event that is set for March 1, 2025.

Approximately 11.2 million SOL tokens worth $2.6 billion or 2.3% of the current supply will be released during the event. Unlocking tokens is an essential part of any cryptocurrency. Concerns about oversupply and sell pressure may surface when a lot of tokens are introduced to the market, prompting investors to make early position adjustments."

https://www.tradingview.com/news/u_today:1ac66fec7094b:0-here-s-why-solana-sol-performed-so-poorly-top-analyst-explains/

https://x.com/James_Gets_It/status/1739001793089323039

https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/17611784607474

what are your solana price predictions, in connection with the march 2025 unlock event?
https://chatgpt.com/share/6760bce5-d220-800d-af06-6c341b467a97