Ked si predtavim co by tento scenar znamenal pre EU banky tazko zainvestovane v Rusku (pozicky ~500mld Euro.. vid prispevok nizsie), tak toto by potom zvladol asi iba Fiko krizeny so Supermanom :)

"I think that it's becoming clear that the Kremlin is going to let the banks fail. Russia only has $350 billion in foreign currency reserves left, or 35 weeks at the current burn rate, which doesn't factor in that Russia will also run a large fiscal deficit this year. Russian banks borrowed euros and lent rubles, and they can't pay back the euros unless crude goes back to $75. Cutting back on production just pushes up the breakeven price.

Be prepared for the Russian banks to fail, Putin and his buddies will put the banks under 'state control' (meaning Putin and his friends will now own the Russian financial sector). With them in control, they'll tell the European banks to mark down the loans by over 50% (basically a take it or leave it proposition), which will bring the euro into parity with the dollar."

zdoj