americko-japonska studia, preprint:

analyza dat z Ciny:

mortalita v epicentre nakazy sa odhaduje na 12 %. Pripisuje sa to tomu, ze v epicentre su kapacity prehltene a zdr. system zlyhava.

v menej postihnutych oblastiach sa odhaduje na 1%

citacia:

"Our estimates of the risk for death in Wuhan reached values as high as 12% in the epicenter of the epidemic and ≈1% in other, more mildly affected areas. The elevated death risk estimates are probably associated with a breakdown of the healthcare system, indicating that enhanced public health interventions, including social distancing and movement restrictions, should be implemented to bring the COVID-19 epidemic under control."
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0233_article