https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/

nevelmi ziclive prognozy z imperial college.

We present case fatality ratio (CFR) estimates for three strata of 2019-nCoV infections. For cases detected in Hubei, we estimate the CFR to be 18% (95% credible interval: 11%-81%). For cases detected in travellers outside mainland China, we obtain central estimates of the CFR in the range 1.2-5.6% depending on the statistical methods, with substantial uncertainty around these central values.

toto v podstate potvrdzuje teoriu, ze ak je k dispozicii dostatocna starostlivost, zomiera "len" okolo 5%, akonahle tato nie je k dispozicii, cisla sa splhaju kludne aj na 20%. nepotvrdene zdroje hovoria az o tretine..