(Predbezne) Vysledky tipovania - boxplot
+ modry diamond (ehm, modra pica) je posledny prieskum Focus
+ cerveny kruzok je posledny prieskum Polis
+ cyanovy trojuholnik - exit poll MVK
+ zlty trojuholnik - exit poll Focus
+ cierny stvorec - VOLBY 2012

Kedze sme na Slovensku a potrebujeme mat co najmenej transparentne pravidla vyhodnocovanie sutaze, tu ich mame:

Hodnotenie tipujucich sa urcuje podla vzorca:
odchylka = 100*abs(odhad-volby)/volby     (* koeficient)
vysledok usera = log ( ∏ odchylka [i])
odchylka = (odhad-volby)*100*koeficient/volby
vysledok usera = sqrt((Σ odchylka[i]^2)/n)

pri chybajucich tipoch sa tipujucim zarataval tip s priemernou odchylkou z jeho ostatnych tipov (inak by pri aktualnom vzorci boli zvyhodneni)
pri chybajucich tipoch sa tipujucim zaratavala dvojnasobna hodnota priemernej odchylky ostatnych userov - zavedene preto, lebo najlepsie vysledky dosahovali ti, ktori vynechali problematicke strany :)
ak by sa niekto nenasiel v tabulku, dajte vediet.. po uzavierke som pridal tip id chawivala :)

vyhodnotenie sa javilo pomerne prehladne, preto zavedme dalsie pravidla, ktore mozno pomozu odstavit nepohodlnych tipujucich :)
pri urceni odchylky bol zavedeny koeficient *2.0 pre tipy, ktore stranu posunuli do parlamentu, hoci sa tam nedostala a naopak, ak tip poslal stranu mimo parlamentu a ta sa tam dostala
(sakra, moj pesimizmus, ze 99% nakoniec da parlament mi prinieslo paradne vela trestnych bodov)


takto sa urcuju jednotlive odchylky

results[user].append((tiper[user][strana]-volby[strana])*100.*koeficient/volby[strana])


do results sa pridava aj dvojnasobok priemernej odchylky inych tipujucich, ak tipujuci vynechal nejaku stranu

a takto sa urcuje vysledok pre usera

final[user] = sqrt(sum([i*i for i in results[user]])/len(results[user]))


Celkove vysledky:


Na zelanie aj focus na vsetko okrem Smeru :)



wq            : 37.250645
elisiak       : 37.730007
zmurkobill    : 47.544332
Joy           : 48.721731
culinko       : 51.059685
machulkovo    : 51.399376
dd            : 52.579507
roger         : 54.762062
nieni         : 61.274780
chav          : 62.540889
Mito          : 62.839034
palino        : 64.859323
reku          : 69.538686
sloniik       : 70.111749
chawivala     : 72.949429
adso          : 73.498245
vermachti     : 73.693485
homelie       : 73.933437
empties       : 74.300315
hurahura      : 74.301811
Furby         : 78.959192
Ochhm         : 79.008992
mysak         : 80.013464
mnagy         : 80.426035
neclovek      : 80.611251
EGA           : 80.836072
Dža           : 82.285232
Andread       : 82.445588
Cubo litre    : 84.827308
m4nu4l        : 86.058564
133           : 86.082440
shulo         : 86.125108
peci          : 86.732935
pyxel         : 87.999625
aztec         : 90.467988
heleb         : 93.530588
rx            : 93.620251
magus         : 96.118277
Miarmi        : 98.353844
bulY          : 104.041113
zix           : 108.006883
xenobiotics   : 109.922163
losmonos      : 110.437437
Lester        : 113.622854
keiro         : 115.528954
maverix       : 123.163185
noway         : 123.283170
jaffar        : 123.651229
repelent      : 125.726963
jasker        : 126.847710
selectriques  : 131.693121
fpoe          : 149.980672
lubes         : 150.879620
agent provokat: 153.888175
svarga        : 155.143493
huno          : 157.353711
Cayo          : 157.694458
mimmon        : 158.639862
psyjuan       : 167.985000
chelly        : 178.883621
Evae          : 184.306150
      id       |99%   |hzds  |kdh   |olano |sas   |sdku  |smer  |smk   |sns   |ucast |hodnotenie
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
133            | 3.50 | 3.10 | 8.00 | 7.00 | 9.00 | 5.50 |36.50 | 3.00 | 4.50 |48.00 | 86.082 
Andread        | 4.50 | 2.50 |10.50 | 6.50 | 9.00 | 6.00 |36.50 | 3.00 | 4.20 |49.00 | 82.446 
Cayo           | 5.00 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 5.00 |10.00 | 9.00 |35.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 |49.00 |157.694 
Cubo litre     | 3.80 | 3.00 |10.70 | 8.20 | 6.90 | 7.20 |38.40 | 2.80 | 4.60 |51.00 | 84.827 
Dža            | 3.80 | 2.90 |11.50 | 6.80 | 7.30 | 7.90 |38.60 | 4.60 | 4.80 |55.90 | 82.285 
EGA            | 4.70 | 2.30 |12.30 | 5.20 | 6.70 | 6.70 |41.20 | 3.10 | 4.10 |48.00 | 80.836 
Evae           | 6.00 | 2.00 |11.00 | 8.00 |11.00 | 9.00 |38.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |44.20 |184.306 
Furby          | 4.50 | 2.40 |10.30 | 5.50 | 7.10 | 7.80 |36.20 | 4.20 | 4.60 |53.60 | 78.959 
Joy            | 3.00 | 2.00 |10.00 | 7.70 | 7.00 | 8.00 |34.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |54.50 | 48.722 
Lester         | 4.30 | 3.80 |10.00 | 7.10 | 7.30 | 6.00 |38.00 | 2.10 | 4.20 |48.60 |113.623 
Miarmi         | 4.90 | 3.00 |11.00 | 7.00 | 7.50 | 8.00 |39.00 | 4.00 | 4.90 |53.00 | 98.354 
Mito           | 4.00 | 1.50 |11.00 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 9.00 |38.00 | 2.50 | 6.00 |48.00 | 62.839 
Ochhm          | 3.00 | 2.00 |10.00 | 6.00 |15.00 |12.00 |38.00 | 1.00 | 4.00 |70.00 | 79.009 
adso           | 3.90 | 2.50 |10.10 | 5.10 | 5.50 | 8.70 |39.50 | 4.30 | 4.30 |53.50 | 73.498 
agent provokat | 5.10 | 2.70 |11.20 | 7.70 | 7.40 | 6.80 |38.70 | 4.10 | 4.10 |51.90 |153.888 
aztec          | 3.80 | 3.20 |10.10 | 5.60 | 7.20 | 6.10 |37.20 | 3.70 | 4.70 |51.60 | 90.468 
bulY           | 3.90 | 3.40 | 8.80 | 5.90 |10.10 |11.30 |36.80 |      | 4.20 |47.50 |104.041 
chav           | 4.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 6.00 | 6.00 | 7.00 |39.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 |53.00 | 62.541 
chawivala      | 3.70 | 2.40 |10.70 | 4.90 | 6.10 | 4.90 |34.20 | 4.10 | 4.40 |47.50 | 72.949 
chelly         | 5.50 | 3.40 | 9.00 | 7.10 | 5.80 | 5.30 |37.80 | 5.00 | 5.10 |42.00 |178.884 
culinko        | 1.80 | 2.30 | 7.80 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 6.50 |37.00 | 4.00 | 3.70 |46.00 | 51.060 
dd             | 2.50 | 1.50 |10.00 | 5.00 | 9.00 |13.50 |37.00 | 4.00 | 4.50 |44.00 | 52.580 
elisiak        | 2.00 | 1.00 | 9.00 |11.00 |10.00 |10.00 |36.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 |56.00 | 37.730 
empties        | 4.00 | 2.50 |11.50 | 7.50 | 5.50 | 8.00 |38.50 | 3.50 | 4.00 |46.00 | 74.300 
fpoe           |      |      |11.20 | 5.60 | 7.90 | 8.10 |36.60 |      |      |56.60 |149.981 
heleb          | 3.40 | 3.40 | 9.70 | 6.50 | 7.50 | 8.30 |35.40 | 4.10 | 4.80 |46.40 | 93.531 
homelie        | 4.00 | 2.50 |11.00 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 |38.00 | 3.50 | 4.50 |54.00 | 73.933 
huno           | 5.20 | 2.60 |12.00 | 6.40 | 8.40 | 7.50 |36.00 | 3.20 | 4.20 |56.20 |157.354 
hurahura       | 4.00 | 2.50 | 9.90 | 6.90 | 7.20 | 7.50 |38.00 | 2.90 | 4.00 |49.00 | 74.302 
jaffar         | 3.30 |      | 8.50 | 5.50 | 6.80 | 9.00 |36.00 | 2.40 | 5.20 |      |123.651 
jasker         | 3.00 | 4.00 |11.00 | 3.00 | 8.00 |13.00 |42.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 |45.30 |126.848 
keiro          | 3.40 | 3.80 |10.00 | 3.80 | 6.00 |12.00 |38.00 | 2.50 | 4.40 |      |115.529 
losmonos       | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 7.00 |39.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 |52.00 |110.437 
lubes          |      |      |11.20 | 8.90 | 6.10 |10.90 |38.90 |      |      |54.20 |150.880 
m4nu4l         | 3.90 | 2.50 |10.00 | 4.00 | 8.30 |11.00 |33.00 | 2.00 | 4.20 |43.00 | 86.059 
machulkovo     | 3.00 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 6.00 | 7.00 | 6.00 |38.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 |44.00 | 51.399 
magus          | 4.60 | 3.00 |12.00 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 6.50 |34.00 | 3.50 | 4.80 |30.00 | 96.118 
maverix        | 3.50 |      |12.50 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 6.00 |40.00 | 4.00 | 4.50 |48.00 |123.163 
mimmon         | 5.20 | 2.80 | 9.40 | 7.20 | 5.70 | 7.10 |37.50 | 3.90 | 4.70 |48.00 |158.640 
mnagy          | 4.30 | 2.60 |10.70 | 6.70 | 6.80 | 7.20 |40.30 | 4.10 | 5.30 |52.85 | 80.426 
mysak          | 3.00 | 3.00 |13.00 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 8.00 |41.00 | 4.00 | 4.00 |42.00 | 80.013 
neclovek       | 3.60 | 2.90 | 9.50 | 5.70 | 7.50 | 8.40 |37.00 | 4.00 | 4.60 |54.00 | 80.611 
nieni          | 4.50 | 1.20 |10.70 | 7.60 | 6.30 | 8.40 |39.70 | 3.80 | 4.10 |52.00 | 61.275 
noway          | 3.50 |      |11.00 | 6.00 | 6.50 | 6.00 |37.00 |      | 4.50 |49.00 |123.283 
palino         | 3.10 | 2.30 | 9.70 | 5.20 | 6.60 |11.50 |36.80 | 3.00 | 4.90 |51.00 | 64.859 
peci           | 4.10 | 2.80 | 8.50 | 6.30 |10.30 | 8.70 |33.50 | 4.80 | 4.20 |48.00 | 86.733 
psyjuan        | 5.10 | 3.60 | 9.40 | 7.60 | 6.10 | 5.10 |36.00 | 3.80 | 4.70 |49.00 |167.985 
pyxel          | 4.00 | 3.00 |12.00 | 7.00 | 8.00 | 8.00 |38.00 | 4.90 | 4.90 |55.00 | 88.000 
reku           | 4.80 | 1.10 |11.00 | 7.10 | 7.10 | 8.90 |34.10 | 3.10 | 5.30 |44.10 | 69.539 
repelent       | 3.20 |      | 9.30 | 4.80 | 7.30 | 8.20 |37.00 | 2.00 | 2.80 |47.30 |125.727 
roger          | 3.10 | 2.10 |11.10 | 5.50 | 7.30 | 6.60 |36.50 | 2.80 | 4.00 |44.00 | 54.762 
rx             | 3.60 | 3.10 | 9.70 | 3.80 | 8.50 | 7.40 |36.20 | 2.70 | 4.60 |49.60 | 93.620 
selectriques   | 4.90 | 4.00 |12.10 | 4.10 | 9.30 | 9.50 |36.30 | 4.00 | 5.30 |53.00 |131.693 
shulo          | 4.10 | 2.90 | 9.10 | 6.30 | 7.60 | 8.20 |36.40 | 3.50 | 4.80 |47.00 | 86.125 
sloniik        | 4.10 | 1.90 |10.30 | 6.10 | 8.60 | 4.20 |39.00 | 1.10 | 4.90 |56.70 | 70.112 
svarga         | 5.20 | 2.50 | 7.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 7.20 |33.00 | 3.70 | 4.80 |53.00 |155.143 
vermachti      | 3.00 | 2.00 |11.00 |10.00 |14.00 | 9.00 |40.00 | 1.00 | 5.00 |20.00 | 73.693 
wq             | 3.12 | 1.24 |10.24 | 5.81 | 7.24 | 7.68 |36.84 | 3.62 | 4.11 |52.11 | 37.251 
xenobiotics    | 3.20 | 3.70 |10.10 | 4.00 |11.00 | 7.50 |32.20 | 2.90 | 4.00 |58.00 |109.922 
zix            | 4.70 | 3.50 | 9.80 | 7.10 | 6.00 | 7.20 |38.80 | 3.90 | 4.70 |48.90 |108.007 
zmurkobill     | 3.50 | 1.50 |12.00 | 7.00 | 5.50 | 8.00 |37.50 | 3.00 | 4.00 |52.00 | 47.544 
==============================================================================================
    VOLBY      | 1.58 | 0.93 | 8.82 | 8.55 | 5.88 | 6.09 |44.41 | 4.28 | 4.55 |59.11 |