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Kahneman and Tversky, the guys who first really began to probe human cognitive errors, found in their research that there was a systematic human tendency to either under or overestimate the expected value of a reward that varied as a function of time.

I'll give you an example. Do you want a dollar today, or 10 dollars in a year? Most people will say a dollar today. How about a dollar today, or 10 dollars in a week? I would take 10 dollars in a week. But does this make sense? I mean, in the first case, I make 9 dollars fewer. Yet, in the second example, I suddenly flip my preference.

It turns out that human motivation is heavily influenced by expectations of how imminent the reward is perceived to be. People overestimate the value of the reward if the reward is imminent, and increasingly discount the value of the reward, the further away it is in time. In other words, your perceived utility of an outcome increases with temporal proximity.

So playing skyrim now is more valuable than an A on your paper until temporal proximity increases the value of that A on the paper, which is when you stay up all night finishing it. One way to try to work around it is to give yourself an immediate reward for forward thinking goal oriented behaviour. You can, for instance, create a situation where you will reward yourself with a tub of ice cream when you've put in 4 hours of work. How can you get around it without resorting to this? Have high level executive functionality. Which to some extent can be exercised by simply practicing doing things you don't want to. So, start small, do 5 minutes of dishes per day. When you have no problem keeping up this routine, add in more tasks with short term punishment but long term reward. You build your way up. However, there are limits.

It's one of the systematic biases in human cognition that this dynamic duo discovered. They were pretty much the death of the rational actor model in psychology, because we're not. Their work is the basis for neuroeconomics, which seeks to take into account that humans aren't rational, that we have systematic cognitive biases, and to reinvent the field of economics so that it has more bearing on reality, and is a reflection of how people really act.

wiki/Temporal_discounting

:source,




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yank
 yank      26.11.2011 - 02:07:02 , level: 1, UP   NEW
omfg...este som si to neprecital, ale prve co som chcel spravit je si to putnut do notepadu, ze si to precitam neskor... :D

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Jay to the Zee
 Jay to the Zee      25.11.2011 - 22:32:49 , level: 1, UP   NEW
vyzera to fit, neskor to docitam..

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jaffar
 jaffar      25.11.2011 - 22:49:14 , level: 2, UP   NEW
imho je to len mala cast pravdy

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bujak
 bujak      25.11.2011 - 18:34:04 , level: 1, UP   NEW
hehe ale treba hovorit aj o dobrych strankach "prokrastinacie": robit veci vtedy, ked ich je naozaj treba - to je dolezita vec, lebo niektore nebude treba nikdy.

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who fuckin
 who fuckin' cares      25.11.2011 - 16:31:03 , level: 1, UP   NEW
zobrat dolar teraz namiesto 10tich o rok je hlupost, kedze je tam vynos 900% rocne... aj ked pri tak malej sume je to takmer jedno...

ale toto si dam ako pripomienku do kalendara, ked to funguje na psov mohlo by aj na mna:
One way to try to work around it is to give yourself an immediate reward for forward thinking goal oriented behaviour. You can, for instance, create a situation where you will reward yourself with a tub of ice cream when you've put in 4 hours of work.

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polar
 polar      25.11.2011 - 15:31:16 , level: 1, UP   NEW
velmi pekne.

s tym, ze zaver "humans aren't rational" by som zamenil za "humans aren't machines." :) Ludske telo, jeho potreby a socialne kontakty totiz priamo vyzaduju viacere "cognitive biases" - napr. dieta potrebuje aby si sa mu venoval radsej kazdy den trochu, nez raz za tyzden dvojnasobok celej sumy. A tak isto to maju dospeli trebars zo sexualitou ci jedlom.





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