Drviva vacsina rozvijajucich sa krajin nebude mat dost penazi na to aby splatila zavazky splatne tento rok. To bude dane najma poklesom ich narodnych mien (stop priamych zahranicnych investicii), pricom dlhy maju vedene vacsinou v USD. Niektore krajiny uz zacali regulovat kapitalove toky v snahe zabranit najhorsiemu..

The World Bank estimates that in 2009, 104 of 129 developing countries will have current account surpluses inadequate to cover private debt coming due. For these countries, total financing needs are expected to amount to more than US$1.4 trillion during the year. External financing needs are expected to exceed private sources of financing (equity flows and private debt disbursements) in 98 of the 104 countries, implying a financing gap in 98 countries of about US$268 billion. Should bank rollover rates be lower than expected, or should capital flight significantly increase, this figure could rise to almost US$700 billion. Well over US$1 trillion in EM corporate debt and US$2-3 trillion in total EM debt matures in 2009, the majority of which reflects claims of major international banks extended cross-border or through their affiliates and branches located in emerging markets.

For most of the reasons presented above, a number of emerging economies have recently imposed controls on capital outflows as a way of managing financial crises. Iceland, Ukraine, Argentina, Indonesia and Russia, among others, have resorted to a number of restrictions on the availability of foreign exchange as a way of dealing with the collapse in global risk appetite.

zdroj (treba sa zaregistrovat, ale clanky na stranke za to stoja)